The fresh new denominator is the quantity of separated women in age class and you will year in all states
Appearing much more closely at widows over age 60, we come across you to definitely in the 1977 its relationship speed is actually dos percent below the baseline seasons plus in 1978, the entire year pursuing the laws enacted, the wedding rates is 13 per cent below the newest baseline seasons. 59] , which supporting the possibility that widows over age 60 defer relationships up until its wedding punishment was got rid of. From inside the 1979, the entire year what the law states turned energetic, the wedding rates is actually 20 percent higher than new standard, the most significant confident departure inside our decide to try months. New 1978 and 1979 outcomes are statistically different than one another on one percent height [F(step one,513)=] . The wedding rates was still above the baseline during the 1980, however, only by the 2 %. Such regression results concur that this new increase inside Committee A good off Profile step one is mathematically high.
This means that you to definitely, normally, what the law states change did not have significant consequences with the widows significantly less than many years sixty, however, i look at the this further in the future regressions.
H3: Separated women do not face instance higher great things about waiting up to ages 60, therefore such same manner ought not to are present for them.
The marriage price patterns to have separated women do not showcase the fresh fashion shown to have widows. The big panel of Contour dos shows that you will find slight increases on the relationships pricing out of separated feamales in 1979. The fresh styles to have 60- so you’re able to 70-year-olds commonly since striking while the style having widows. When you look at the an effective regression study just like you to over, found at the end committee off Contour dos and Appendix Table step 1, we find your deviations about standard 12 months is significantly other to own divorced women who has reached minimum years sixty relative to those ladies who are lower than ages 60 from inside the 1970, 1971, 1975, 1976, 1980, and 1981. Unlike the widows, there is not a definite trend nearby the latest 1979 law alter.
Throughout the around sixty group, we simply cannot deny the latest hypothesis that coefficient on any 1-season dummy are statistically diverse from new coefficient with the seasons after the in just about any 12 months but 1988
Panel A good (descriptive analytics) means that the wedding speed activities to own divorced feminine do not display the new trends revealed to possess widows. That it committee reveals moderate develops about relationships costs away from separated feminine aged sixty–70 when you look at the 1979. Once again, the fresh relationship trends having divorced feminine aged sixty–70 commonly once the striking just like the those to have widows.
Certainly divorced women about decades 60, the wedding cost into the 1977, 1978, and you may 1979 is 20, 24, and you will 10 percent below the wedding rates towards the standard year regarding 1968. The newest cost are not statistically not the same as both at the important levels.
Committee B (regression results) implies that the latest deviations from the standard season (1969) are somewhat additional having divorced women that is at minimum ages sixty relative to women less than decades sixty from inside the 1970, 1971, 1975, 1976, 1980, and you may 1981. Unlike new pattern for widows, there is absolutely no obvious development surrounding new 1979 rules alter. (Complete regression email address details are in Appendix Dining table step one.)
Certainly separated women not as much as many years sixty, the wedding costs decline rather between 1979 (30 % underneath the baseline) and you will 1980 (47 per cent beneath the standard), hinting during the opportunity these divorced feminine was basically alternatives to possess the newest widows who have been now absolve to marry versus penalty.
Notes: The new numerator is the weighted amount of ong divorced feamales in the age category and you will year from states that were on the MRA for everyone years anywhere between 1968 and you will 1995 hence said past relationship reputation on their marriage permits. Come across Appendix Table step one to possess details on coefficients and you will standard problems.